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The pursuit of excellence takes many shapes in life, but it often centers upon continuous self-improvement (what the Japanese call kaizen). Successful investors find ways to tap into virtuous self-improvement, but it's often less clear-cut than in other endeavors.
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The battle ground for US equity markets is centered on valuation. How sustainably equity multiples can be stretched goes beyond discounted cash flow models. It will be a function of narrative. Luckily, we can learn from history in thinking about today's current predicament.
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Position sizing can be as important a driver of portfolio outperformance as security selection. But many investors struggle with clearly communicating their position sizing philosophy. Here, we discuss why and provide some insight into our approach.
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Markets function as a medium for the weighing of intrinsic value is facilitated by their profiting on arbitrage. Recently, that arbitrage has grown shaky, leading to disruption of an orderly market function. How can investors combat this dislocation?
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We’re not in the business of extrapolating cycles. But we are students of cyclical phenomenon. Mean reversion is by our estimation, the most powerful force in investing. When combined with human behavior, it drives the yawning gap between long-term average returns and middling average-investor outcomes.
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Is risk variance or potential for permanent capital loss? When is measurement important versus foolish in quantifying risk?
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The Circle of Competence is an often-cited mental model attributed to Warren Buffett. We humbly offer a contribution to Buffet’s lesson through a slight modification.
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